近日，吉林建筑大学教授刘继斌和东北师范大学杨青山团队合作报道了中国在全球体系中的地位变化及其影响因素——多重联系网络的视角。相关论文发表在2024年3月1日出版的《中国地理科学》杂志上。

研究人员从多样化的全球联系网络视角，构建经济、文化和政治影响指数，以探讨2005-2018年中国在全球体系中的地位变化及其影响因素。结果表明，在研究期间，中国在经济联系、文化交流和政治联系领域的全球影响力显著增加，但在文化交流和政治联系领域的影响力远远落后于经济联系。中国经济对世界各国经济的影响格局呈现出从“正金字塔”向“倒金字塔”结构的转变。

这些处于低影响力地区的经济体所占比例从2005年的60%以上下降到2018年的不到20%。中国对世界各经济体的文化和政治影响显著增强；然而，对于前者，高影响力地区的比例仍然不到20%，而对于后者，这些经济体在中、高影响力地区的比例仍然不到50%。散点图矩阵等分析表明，地理邻近性、经济全球化、与发展中国家的密切合作以及积极和平的外交政策，是提高中国在多样化的全球网络体系中的地位的重要因素。

据研究人员介绍，明确中国在全球体系中的地位，是开展国家外交的重要逻辑基础。尽管对中国发展状况的研究很多，但大多数研究都是基于国家比较或制度环境。在当今全球经济、贸易、人员、信息紧密联系的网络化时代，对中国在多重联系网络中的全球地位及其状态变化及影响因素的研究仍然不足。

附：英文原文

Title: Changes of China’s Status in the Global System and Its Influencing Factors: A Multiple Contact Networks Perspective

Author: Liu, Jian, Liu, Jibin, Yang, Qingshan, Cai, Sikai, Liu, Jie

Issue&Volume: 2024-03-01

Abstract: Clarifying China’s position in the global system is an important logical basis for developing national diplomacy. Although much research has been done on China’s development status, most studies have been based on country comparisons or institutional environment. In today’s networked era in which the global economy, trade, personnel, and information are closely connected, studies on China’s global position and its status changes and influencing factors in multiple contact networks are still insufficient. In this study, from the perspective of diverse global contact networks, we constructed economic, cultural, and political influence indices to explore the changes and influencing factors on China’s status in the global system from 2005 to 2018. The results show that during the study period, China’s global influence in the fields of economic ties, cultural exchanges, and political contacts increased significantly, but its influence in the fields of cultural exchanges and political contacts lagged far economic ties. The pattern of China’s economic influence on various economies around the world has shown a transformation from an ‘upright pyramid’ to an ‘inverted pyramid’ structure. The proportion of these economies in low-influence zones has decreased from more than 60% in 2005 to less than 20% in 2018. China’s cultural and political influence on various economies around the world has increased significantly; however, for the former, the percentage of high-influence areas is still less than 20%, whereas for the latter the percentage of these economies in medium- and high-influence areas is still less than 50%. Analyses such as a scatter plot matrix show that geographical proximity, economic globalization, close cooperation with developing countries, and a proactive and peaceful foreign policy are important factors in improving China’s status in the diverse global network system.

DOI: 10.1007/s11769-024-1419-8

Source: https://link.springer.com/article/10.1007/s11769-024-1419-8